Booked a Hilton through FHR, and in my Hilton account I can see this reservation has a standby upgrade option. The price looks pretty attractive, but I have a few questions: 1. This upgrade isn't guaranteed, right? 2. The FHR booking is refundable—if I get upgraded, can I still refund it?

Whether a standby upgrade can actually be accommodated on arrival depends heavily on occupancy. When the front desk is busy, they may simply not have time to deal with it, so don't count on it as something you're guaranteed to get.