I'm a senior level FE-Engineer at a large e-commerce company with a complex mono-repo codebase. Ever since our company handed out Claude accounts most of my co-workers and I have been using Opus pretty much every day. It often feels like I don't code anymore so much as manage a very talented junior engineer.
For patterns in the code that have already been established, I'd say it has a about a 95% success rate on a given task, with occasional follow-up prompts to cover anything it's missed.
For new features it maybe gets 70% of the way there and I have to go in and fix or add the rest. It's still terrible at CSS.
All of this still requires a senior level engineer like myself to write intelligent prompts, answer AI questions, and review. So, to that extent I don't believe a PM is going to vibe code my job away.
What I'm concerned with is how much faster I'm now getting my work done. AI isn't perfect for all tasks, but for the mundane and predictable ones, it makes my job a breeze and I would say it has cut my overall workload almost in half. It's also let me extend past my expertise and make changes to codebases in languages I'm not as familiar with with great success.
Our CTO has already noticed this and closed our open reqs for new engineers since we're now ahead of schedule on our roadmap. It's only a matter of time, in my opinion, before the industry as a whole catches on that they need half the engineers to do the same amount of work. I know it's already brutal out there for developers looking for employment and I can't imagine what will be like in another 5 years.




The amount of work where software engineers are needed is about to go insane. Software is entering the real world instead of just moving bits around on a screen. Robotics is coming in a big way. Building general use robots was always seen as a fools errand because the software was always assumed to be decades away. Now it is here but the hardware doesn't exist yet. It is coming.
I bought a Unitree Go2 robot dog and set up a powerful brain for it that lives on the GPU of my gaming pc. It will jump up on the couch and watch TV with me. We like to discuss the plot of old episodes of Baywatch. Every human I know is going to want something like this.
The people who set up the software for these devices will be in big demand. But they will have to be highly skilled because now bad code can injure or kill people. After that happens a few times licensing will come in and software engineer will become a true skilled profession like medical doctor or lawyer.